Election 2024: Harris Leads Trump by 5 Points in Pennsylvania

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Pennsylvania matters and Vice President Kamala Harris holds a narrow lead over former President Donald Trump in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania, according to a recent Spotlight PA/MassINC poll.

The survey shows Harris with 49% of the vote, while Trump garners 44%, as they vie for the state’s 19 electoral votes.

Well don’t get too excited either way. Although Harris is ahead, the results fall within the poll’s margin of error, which is 4 percentage points with a 95% confidence level, factoring in the design effect. Polling averages compiled by The Hill/Decision Desk HQ reflect a closer race, with Harris maintaining a slim 1.2-point lead — 49.1% support to Trump’s 47.9%.

What’s more, in addition to measuring electoral preferences, the poll also explored public opinion on lifetime appointments to the U.S. Supreme Court. Nearly half of the respondents (48%) expressed support for lifetime appointments, while 18% opposed them. The issue of judicial term limits has gained more attention in light of recent rulings by the conservative-majority court, particularly the overturning of Roe v. Wade.

Get this, when asked about that specific decision, 54% of those surveyed felt it was the wrong choice, compared to 38% who supported it.

How was it done? The poll was conducted through a mix of telephone and online survey invitations using standard registration-based sampling methods, with data collected between September 12 and 18.

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